Tropical Cyclone Activity

Current Atlantic Satellite Loop


Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean


NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

 


Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 261758
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Oct 26 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Zeta, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Hurricane for

  • Summary for Hurricane Zeta (AT3/AL282020)
    ...ZETA EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE TO PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... ...HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WATCHES ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... As of 4:00 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 the center of Zeta was located near 19.5, -86.0 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 981 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.

Hurricane Zeta

  • Hurricane Zeta Public Advisory Number 9
    Issued at 400 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 262041 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Zeta Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020 400 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020 ...ZETA EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE TO PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... ...HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WATCHES ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.5N 86.0W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Storm Surge Watch is in effect from Intracoastal City, Louisiana, to Navarre, Florida, including Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Vermilion Bay, Pensacola Bay, and Mobile Bay. A Hurricane Watch is in effect from Morgan City, Louisiana, to the Mississippi/Alabama border, including Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and metropolitan New Orleans. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from the Mississippi/Alabama border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line, Florida, and from west of Morgan City to Intracoastal City. The government of Cuba has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Pinar del Rio. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Tulum to Dzilam Mexico * Cozumel A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * South of Tulum to Punta Allen Mexico * West of Dzilam to Progreso Mexico A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Intracoastal City Louisiana to Navarre Florida * Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Vermilion Bay, Pensacola Bay, and Mobile Bay A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Morgan City Louisiana to the Mississippi/Alabama border * Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Metropolitan New Orleans A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Mississippi/Alabama border to Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida * West of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 12 to 24 hours. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Zeta was located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 86.0 West. Zeta is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A northwestward motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next day or so, followed by a turn toward the north Tuesday night. A faster northward to north-northeastward motion is forecast on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Zeta will move over the northern Yucatan Peninsula later today or tonight, move over the southern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday, and approach the northern Gulf Coast in the watch area on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible before Zeta makes landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula. Some weakening is likely while Zeta moves over the Yucatan Peninsula late tonight and early Tuesday. Zeta is forecast to strengthen again when it moves over the southern Gulf of Mexico later on Tuesday and be at or near hurricane strength when it approaches the northern Gulf Coast on Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Zeta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast in the Hurricane Warning area near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula. The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Port Fourchon LA to Dauphin Island AL including Lake Borgne...4-6 ft Intracoastal City LA to Port Fourchon LA including Vermilion Bay...2-4 ft Dauphin Island AL to Navarre FL including Mobile Bay and Pensacola Bay...2-4 ft Lake Pontchartrain...2-4 ft Navarre FL to Yankeetown FL including Choctawhatchee Bay and Saint Andrew Bay...1-3 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with local amounts of 12 inches are possible through Tuesday along and east-northeast of Zetas track across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, the Cayman Islands, and central to western Cuba. An initial area of heavy rains will begin to impact the central Gulf Coast Tuesday night, spreading north into the Tennessee Valley on Wednesday. The core of the heavy rains associated with Zeta will push northeast from eastern Louisiana across southern Mississippi, Alabama and northern Georgia through Wednesday night, and through the southern Appalachians into the Mid-Atlantic on Thursday. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts of 6 inches are expected across these areas, resulting in flash, urban, small stream, and minor river flooding. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning area in the Yucatan Peninsula this evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area in Mexico this evening. Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area on the northern Gulf Coast late Wednesday, and tropical storm conditions are possible within the Tropical Storm Watch area on the northern Gulf Coast late Wednesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch ]]>
  • Hurricane Zeta Forecast Advisory Number 9
    Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 26 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 262041 TCMAT3 HURRICANE ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 2100 UTC MON OCT 26 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO NAVARRE FLORIDA INCLUDING LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN... VERMILION BAY...PENSACOLA BAY AND MOBILE BAY. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA...AND FROM WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PINAR DEL RIO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TULUM TO DZILAM MEXICO * COZUMEL A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH OF TULUM TO PUNTA ALLEN MEXICO * WEST OF DZILAM TO PROGRESO MEXICO A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO NAVARRE FLORIDA * LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...VERMILION BAY...PENSACOLA BAY AND MOBILE BAY A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA * WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 86.0W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 86.0W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 85.6W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.5N 87.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 22.1N 89.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 24.2N 91.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 26.8N 91.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 30.8N 88.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 35.0N 83.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 42.0N 68.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 86.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 27/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH ]]>
  • Hurricane Zeta Forecast Discussion Number 8
    Issued at 1000 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 261450 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Zeta Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020 1000 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2020 After a significant strengthening episode early this morning, Zeta appears to have changed little in intensity recently. High spatial and temporal resolution GOES-16 visible satellite images indicate that the low-level center of the storm is located near the northwestern edge of the main area of vigorous deep convection. The current intensity estimate is held at 60 kt which is the average of recent Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate Zeta in a few hours, and should provide a better estimate of the strength of the storm. Zeta is moving northwestward, or about 305/9 kt. A mid-level high pressure area centered just east of Florida should steer the tropical cyclone on a continued northwestward heading for the next day or so, taking center over the northern part of the Yucatan Peninsula. By around 48 hours, Zeta is expected to turn northward over the Gulf along the western side of the high. Afterward, a shortwave trough moving into the southern Plains should induce a turn toward the north-northeast and take the center inland over the southern United States. The system should then move fairly quickly northeastward across the eastern U.S. and emerge into the Atlantic by day 4. The official track forecast has been adjusted a bit to the west of the previous one but not quite as far west as the corrected model consensus. Zeta is apparently experiencing some north-northwesterly shear given the displacement of the low-level center from the convection. However, this shear is expected to abate very soon, and the cyclone is likely to strengthen into a hurricane before reaching the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula. Some weakening should occur while Zeta interacts with land during the next 12 to 24 hours. The atmospheric and oceanic environment should be somewhat conducive while the system moves over the southern Gulf of Mexico in a day or two, and the official forecast shows some re-strengthening in 24-36 hours. Later in the forecast period, when Zeta approaches the northern Gulf Coast, cooler shelf waters and some increase in southwesterly shear could cause some weakening. The official intensity forecast is similar to the previous ones and shows Zeta still near hurricane strength at landfall along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast, which is near or above most of the model guidance. Zeta is likely to become an extratropical cyclone when it emerges into the Atlantic, and be absorbed by a frontal system around the end of the forecast period. Given the timing of the track and the forecast wind radii, watches will likely be required for a portion of the northern Gulf Coast later today. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Hurricane conditions and dangerous storm surge are expected in portions of the northern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico tonight and early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions could occur over extreme western Cuba beginning later today. 2. Through Tuesday, heavy rainfall is expected from Zeta across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, the Cayman Islands, and central to western Cuba. This rainfall may lead to flash flooding in urban areas. Between Tuesday night and Thursday, heavy rainfall is expected from portions of the central U.S. Gulf Coast into the southern Appalachians, and Mid-Atlantic States near and in advance of Zeta. This rainfall will lead to flash, urban, small stream, and minor river flooding. 3. Zeta is forecast to be at or near hurricane strength when it approaches the northern Gulf Coast on Wednesday, and there is an increasing risk of dangerous storm surge, wind, and rainfall impacts from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle. Residents in these areas should monitor the progress of Zeta, as Hurricane and Storm Surge watches will likely be issued later today. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/1500Z 19.1N 85.3W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 27/0000Z 20.1N 86.7W 75 KT 85 MPH 24H 27/1200Z 21.5N 88.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 28/0000Z 23.3N 90.8W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 28/1200Z 25.7N 91.8W 70 KT 80 MPH 60H 29/0000Z 28.9N 90.7W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 29/1200Z 33.0N 87.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 96H 30/1200Z 40.0N 73.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch ]]>
  • Hurricane Zeta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
    Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 26 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 262041 PWSAT3 HURRICANE ZETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 2100 UTC MON OCT 26 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ZETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS ...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 1(19) X(19) ATLANTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) X(23) X(23) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) 1(37) X(37) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) X(27) X(27) COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) X(22) X(22) BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 38(38) 1(39) X(39) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MONTGOMERY AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 46(47) X(47) X(47) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 47(48) X(48) X(48) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 31(36) X(36) X(36) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 54(56) X(56) X(56) MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) X(21) X(21) MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 54(57) X(57) X(57) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) X(22) X(22) GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 51(54) X(54) X(54) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) X(22) X(22) STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 56(63) X(63) X(63) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) X(23) X(23) BURAS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) 34(63) X(63) X(63) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) X(21) X(21) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15) JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 44(49) X(49) X(49) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) X(20) X(20) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 46(54) 21(75) X(75) X(75) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) 20(20) 21(41) X(41) X(41) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 23(27) X(27) X(27) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 30(37) X(37) X(37) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) X(15) X(15) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) X(19) X(19) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 18(24) 4(28) X(28) X(28) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MERIDA MX 34 8 43(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) MERIDA MX 50 2 16(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MERIDA MX 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COZUMEL MX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) COZUMEL MX 50 93 X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) COZUMEL MX 64 27 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) BELIZE CITY 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUANAJA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLE OF PINES 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 48(51) X(51) X(51) PENSACOLA NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) PENSACOLA NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 56(63) X(63) X(63) KEESLER AB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) X(27) X(27) KEESLER AB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER PASCH ]]>
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    Hurricane Zeta 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 26 Oct 2020 20:44:01 GMT

    Hurricane Zeta 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
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Eastern Pacific


NHC Eastern North Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

 


Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 261718
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Oct 26 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts
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There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 26 Oct 2020 20:42:20 GMT


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